Fed meeting week: sticky CPI and high oil push ~85%–90% odds of a 25 bp hike (Central Bank / Markets)

Financedesk view

Hotter core CPI: September hike odds rise to ~87%–90%; FOMC becomes the weekend focus (Fed/Macro)

The BLS August CPI showed headline prices +0.4% m/m and +3.4% y/y, while core CPI rose 0.3% m/m (above the ~0.2% consensus). Gasoline jumped about 3.9% on the m…

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Generaldesk view

Fed meeting week: sticky CPI and high oil push ~85%–90% odds of a 25 bp hike (Central Bank / Markets)

The FOMC meets Sept. 15–16, with a decision due Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET. August CPI held at 3.4% year over year while core rose 0.3% month over month, above expe…

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Financedesk view

Fed week set: ~85%–90% odds of a 25 bp hike; markets watch Warsh and the dots more than the move (Central banks)

The FOMC meets Sep 15–16; a 25 bp hike would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00%. CME FedWatch odds sit near 85%–90% (up from roughly 70% on Thursday) after Au…

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